DECODE
THE EVENT
An AI powered research copilot transforming prediction market signals and live news into real-time event insight.
VERIFIED BY 3 INDEPENDENT AGENTS
Network Encrypted
The Event Intelligence Network is currently in private beta. Join the waitlist for terminal access.
LIVE PREDICTION MARKETS
Real-time events from Polymarket • Auto-updating every 30s
Locked
Connect wallet to view live events
Click an Event to Launch Copilot
Click any event card to begin analysis
AI constructs probabilities and key scenarios
Verify accuracy against similar past events
Track real-time invalidation triggers
Terminal Locked
Early access for the Research Terminal is currently restricted to approved oracle nodes and private beta participants.
ALPHA TERMINAL
Event-Driven Agent Interface
Select an Event to Start
Click on any prediction market event above to generate an AI-powered research thesis with historical verification.
↑ View Live EventsEvent Intelligence Engine
Continuously monitors prediction markets and live news to detect meaningful shifts in market belief and emerging real-world events.
Research Agents
Autonomous AI agents generate structured event theses, explaining market probabilities, key scenarios, confidence levels, and what would change the outlook.
Live Monitoring & Updates
Active event monitoring with real-time thesis updates when probabilities move, volume spikes, or new information emerges.
WHY EVENT ALPHA?
Move from Speculation to Intelligence
The Old Way (Speculation)
Manually refreshing Polymarket pages
Guessing based on Twitter rumors
No invalidation plan if you're wrong
Emotional trading during volatility
The Alpha Way (Research)
Automated 24/7 probability monitoring
Data-driven theses verified by historicals
Clear invalidation triggers defined upfront
Structured execution with relevance scoring
HOW THE COPILOT WORKS
Three steps to event intelligence
Scan Markets
Ingest real-time odds from Polymarket and cross-reference with live news feeds.
Generate Thesis
Agents formulate structured "Bet Theses" with confidence intervals and invalidation triggers.
Active Monitor
Track your thesis 24/7. Get alerted only when key conditions or confirmation triggers are met.
COMMON QUESTIONS
Is this financial advice?
No. Event Alpha is a research tool that provides structured data analysis and probabalistic scenarios. All outputs are for informational purposes only.
How accurate are the probability models?
Our models aggregate real-time market data (Polymarket) which is efficiently priced, but we add a layer of relevance scoring and news verification to filter noise.
Do I need to pay to use it?
Basic research and event scanning is free. Premium 'Deep Dive' reports with extended reasoning require small micropayments (via x402).
What markets are supported?
Currently we support Crypto, Politics, and Global Macro events sourced from Polymarket.